April 27, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Favorite Image | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Effective | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trusted Redemption | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Grunseich | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prefontaine | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factum Love Style | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slam Bang | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Intervention | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Mistress | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Driver’s License | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Empress Irene | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jamie’s Wanderlust | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ragazza Carina | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Running Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mithra | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bouncing Around | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cantstoprunning | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roan Mountain | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sambam | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risque Rebel | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aspen Xtreme | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Speed Syndrome | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Earthquake | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Special | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surfer Boy George | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King’s Gold | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grand Oasis | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Sueno | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Methodical | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halite | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nick Papagiorgio | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Meadow | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Terry’s Charm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zitman | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Hero | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jw’strickymischief | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Screen Saver | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incite | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kid d’Oro | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Sign | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arrecife | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Town Jak | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get Set | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scoop Dawg | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Shotta | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Because I Can | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bucks Are Moving | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inspired Options | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O’Brien | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nicky Da Fox | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | E T’s Candy Man | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Unique Bella S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trolley Ride | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ujjayi | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chub Wagon | 0.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | I’m the Talent | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isabella Smile | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promised Storm | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Bea | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Page Mckenney H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Admiral Abe | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grit’n’grind | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Thiscatcanjump | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chilly in Charge | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Breezy Gust | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grab the Gold | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wait for It | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wise Jude | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brilliant Chase | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Newstome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Saratoga Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hockey Puck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Geebert | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Thought | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strawberry Red | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kidnapped | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danzafied | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gravel Road | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Best Start | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Passport Required | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Valerie First | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Taylor’s Belle | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quiet Please | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jennyanyspot | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spectacular Now | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go Metro Girl | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Georgia Bonnet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Supergirl Power | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.