April 29, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Aprilness | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Gracie | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mavilus | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Cod Sally | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shackaboom | 1.40 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sublimity | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quickstrike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Belle Tapisserie | 1.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warm Sunny Breeze | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mojovation | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Day the Music Died | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candygramformongo | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uplifting | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Misdriven | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | China Cat | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Star | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bring Me Answers | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simmard Shenanigan | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intoxicologist | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Carat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cosmicality | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Mosley | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Armando R | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tipyourhattothat | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irishman | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shanghaied Astoria | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sebastian | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tales of Saratoga | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Company Clown | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tappahannock | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Rinne | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justice of War | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Amen Corner | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fernwood Drive | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Audacious Quality | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gator Fifty Two | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz Auction Time | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frankee Merch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Redacted Report | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tringale | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stroll Smokin | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ziggy Mon | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Threes Over Deuces | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In the Loop | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Candy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tappin Cat | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brooks Robinson | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Commander | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Russian Melody | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Millie Child | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promenade Princess | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eloquent Lady | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Skylark | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awfully Foxy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liv and Let Liv | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kewpie Doll | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chargina | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hipnotizada | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Lori | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Ferguson | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tritone Gal | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Zone | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monkey’s Medal | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Not Curly | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Campari | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irishtown | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feature Act | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.