April 30, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Impressive Student | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strate Remark | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Shacked Up | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s No Bull | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ceeky | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weast Hill | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Stuff | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | College Party | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Venue | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Roll Dinero Roll | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double Bogey | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gonna Getcha | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Classic | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Star | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Dixie | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Straticus | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Putter | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Torin | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greater Cairo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shanghai’s Dream | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cascade King | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day Trip | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gainer | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | I’m a Special Star | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Niles Channel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Big Bluff | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Moro Magic | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marilyn’s Magic | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Natural Jewel | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Arkie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cyber Affair | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allofourdreams | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Very Spicy | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Skadi | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Marquee Cowboy | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epworth | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calico Dreamer | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Astrologer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Outlier | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Lautrec | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Conquistador Show | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Biz | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Major Kong | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Funandfunny | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Davidic Line | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bode’s Light | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Stash the Cash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 4 | Shake It | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard to Park | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Ice Storm | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Descente | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hello Darling | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Indian Bella | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Laurieann | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fleeta Belle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kasserine Pass | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady McKenzie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boathouse View | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breeze Rider | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Monkey Mind | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Between the Hedges | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fabulous Girl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skamania | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Tiny | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ragatagtag | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undecidedcertainty | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stylin Uptown | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Alice | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Triple Scout | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Gallant Plunger | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chipofftheoldblock | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | D’ Rapper | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gray Attempt | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trashtalkinyankee | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plane Talk | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gordy Florida | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Deflater | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Principe Guilherme | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ship It Red | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Well Connected | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Champagneonme | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Royal Daaher | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Engage | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Empire of Gold | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Share the Upside | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Jagermeister | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shashashakemeup | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Mary Rose | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Man in the Can | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tempt Fate | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glacken’s Ghost | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Iza Daddy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Implicator | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bandit Point | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Destiny Way | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Cinnamon Victory | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C H Jay | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promising Shoes | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Navy Seal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Prospector Fever | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Wicked Mad | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maxim Moment | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do Right | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Happymac | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Star Sailor | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coal Town Road | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hard Cash | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz Life | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hpnotiq Rhythm | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Talktoeachother | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justin Speight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Khozan’s Success | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Church Service | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.