May 1, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lazaretto | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love Life | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Cousin Joe | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sette Stelle | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sweeney’s Cat | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Suleman | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cpower | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buddy Revell | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Duel Fuel | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reinoanimaux | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artista | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kitodan | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trust Our Journey | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Puzzler | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Crusader | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mastership | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swift Dancer | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruling Front | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starship Blanca | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Auburn | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dinner At Five | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Florado | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freezer Burn | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pandorica | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Millefiori | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Street | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backchat | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Jeopardy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Tone | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Contender | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Tails | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Italian Twin | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kate’s Kingdom | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Smart Spending | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dontpushyourluck | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Funwhileitlasted | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sara Mia | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sunshine City | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Maureenlovesfrank | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Short Circuit | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Battle Cry | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Pin Ally | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Cheetah | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Loyal Louie | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doo Wop Don | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miami Chrome | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Jim | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camp Pendleton | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parmenides | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Drum and Drummer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Undefiled | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonshine Now | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Averroes | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He Ain’t No Saint | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fiat Lux | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kanithappen | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Barrage | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double David | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inaceptable | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Star Juancho | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paladio | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speargun | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vinnie Van Go | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Man of Vision | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Long Chuck | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Farley | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Matters | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flowmotion | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Max K. O. | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ambassador Jim | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Face of Victory | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Just the Facts | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Around | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy’s Hero | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Remember the Maine | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Uhtred | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Youshouldbesolucky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Harbour Master (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Luna | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Old Chestnut | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | R Mercedes Boy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Well Defined | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Glory of Florida | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gangly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Inter Miami | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Monforte | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Silverly Enough | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Honey Ryder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cultured | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Con Lima | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Karakatsie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Por Que No | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Dream | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coworth Park | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pens Street | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia At Midnight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Unshakable U | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Navajo Creed | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Young Thomas | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dream of Anfield | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gun of Glory | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not So Easy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Owl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Unimpeached | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lord Theo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heaven’s Tale | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | M V Speed | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joyful Surprise | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

