May 1, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Racy Jaycee | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Couverture | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Springs Bling | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonshine Princess | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cyber Sneaker | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Fearless | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Burrito | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Checkmark | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Daigle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Seriously Sassy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Thursday Morning | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Angel | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wish for Candy | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spot’s Maine Girl | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lord Dragon | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chris and Dave | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gato Guapo | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catdaddy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kurilov (CHI) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Incorrigible | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruler of the Nile | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blueridge Traveler | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Lucky Break | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Stan for Love | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ghost Strategy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J’s Little Man | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Traffic Control | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Max Bet | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bellamys Roan | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Risky Situation | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ducktail | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cats Gotta Chance | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Betta | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bebop Shoes | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Young Bull | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hamazing Song | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Many Sweet Treats | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whenthedovescry | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sir Brahms | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J. E.’s Handmedown | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heritage Park | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bogey | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reef’s Destiny | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blanco Bronco | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Ninja | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He’smyhoneybadger | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Mamba | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame J D | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tycoon | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Upstriker | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Pharoah | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Xtreme Mayhem | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edge to Edge | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Americaredwhiteblu | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Antigravity | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Kid Shelleen | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Caerus | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Violent Gigi | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Run | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Junesandra | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Mister Snickers | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Fantastic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hanks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Heroic Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Best You Ever Seen | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aqwaam | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Westfest | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Ruler | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | News Flash | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alexandros | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | You Split Tens | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | California Swing | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ravens Reflection | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitchen Fire | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy O’Dini | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Twobirdsonestone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Replete | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tentwelvefourteen | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gaslight | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Wireless | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bajan Rum | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stayin’ Out Late | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Riptide Rock | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Larry | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sound the Charge | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Navy Seal | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red N Wild | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bank | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ancient Warrior | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One for Richie | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jalen Journey | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grit and Curiosity | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Authority | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Home Base | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nifty | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Impressed | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nuclear Option | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thomas Shelby | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Amani’s Eagle | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lngtermrelationshp | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Summer | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapage | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | French Toast | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hit the Ticket | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knight’s Cross | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Constitution | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paynter Party | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alex Joon | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Strike Me Down | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jumper | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Botswana Taps | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Oaklawn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fulsome | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unanimously | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scarred | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrant | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Convention | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Causeway Jones | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Game Day Play | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Original Intent | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exemplar | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Darren’s Fortune | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge d’Oro | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Longntall | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Echo (GB) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dealin’ Stelen | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calculated Risker | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tales of War | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Rouge Diesel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.