May 7, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Kreesie | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giacosa | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pecatonica | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wasp | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Timeless Journey | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Cent Tootsie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancing Kiki | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courageous Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Absolute Courage | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Mo’s Cat | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Time Player | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Profile | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Mercury | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Ready | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Breadman | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Somethingtotellyou | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quiet Out East | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Point Him Out | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Simply | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Austrian | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Swinging Sticks | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Barista Vixen | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chaysenbryn | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Kin | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stunning Munnings | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Vitanza | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Pendolino | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maryanorginger | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Decreed | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proper Grammar | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orma | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Ms Scarlet | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Here Comes Meg | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cazilda Fortytales | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dutchess of N Y | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Poohdini | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Idaka | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | La Reine Rouge | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marilyn Merlot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bank Statement | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Boat | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sixteen Tons | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Warfront Fighter | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mister J T | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jailbreaker | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Matty’s Marauder | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Canyon of Heros | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Being Me | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Talespin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Air | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Lips Are Sealed | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pie Killer | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rose E Holiday | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Better With Age | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Song | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make Or Break | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enter Sandwoman | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seahorse d’Oro | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosey’s Peach | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Caen Na Coille | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | La Dragontea (GB) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She Throws Heat | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whatdoesasharksay | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Song of Innocence | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Amber | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halo City | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sport Model | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bertinga | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quantitativbreezin | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scott Alaia | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Esotica | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Call Me Carmelita | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Domenica | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mondeuse | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Quiet Type | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roxy’s Kingdom | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Lullaby | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roxen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fancy Feline | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.