May 7, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No More Talk | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kingston Pike | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Day the Music Died | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inside Risk | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Revolutionary Road | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storming My Way | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raven Rahy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scottsdale | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonzano | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Don’t Throw Stones | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pepe and Heywood | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raeford | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bridge of Hope | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Family Fortune | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cougar Vision | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congress Hall | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bean Indiscreet | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solea | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arbutus | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Exchange | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | R V Treasure | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mikey’s Jewel | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maliceinthepalace | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Walk It Out Nanny | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon Gal | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rockstar Girl | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Melisande | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | So Who’s Back | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Do I Ever | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Witty Banter | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Paddy’s Princess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cold Hearted Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mahkato | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Fearless Ideas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rooney | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Why Not You | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Chip | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speechin N Teachin | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aladdin Sane | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Martini Lane | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watchthebourbon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shaka Style | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artillery | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lasting Image | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish d’Oro | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiny Tin | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | Vics Cool Cat | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance and Dance | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boogie With Me | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kiss the Girl | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Trunk of Money | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | S W Briar Rose | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Phantom Shot | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gifted Heart | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Paisley Singing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Decoupage | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Bella Rossa | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gracetown | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pat’s No Fool | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inside the Box | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artful Splatter | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Talking Girl | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judi Blue Eyes | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danger Zone | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Love You | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mosalah | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin Dynamic | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Award Wanted | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Lion Girl | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vanhoofer | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ghidorah | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grandeur | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Patrol | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mosler Safe | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mohs | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Feyderspiel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time Standstill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | I Am Redeemed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.