May 11, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Inspired Options | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlies Safari | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Gray for Carolyn | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fox in the Fog | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Digging for Gold | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel Traveller | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eddie’s Charge | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lavery | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinny Dream | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Myhessexpress | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boy Who Cried Wolf | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Daydream | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Reigning Champion | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Runner | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Don’t Recall | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Horse Be With You | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Time Operator | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Todd Goodling | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dr Zrada | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oracabessa | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Liquor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kairos | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Growth | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superhighway | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bronxville | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knokke by the Sea | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | General | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inclunation | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Early Entry | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hitmewthurbestshot | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runs for Luck | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bob’s My Uncle | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Kyem | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nick the Cardshark | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luckytobeinamerica | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Le Weekend | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Above Par | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Janie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Li’lbito’charm | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bucks Some | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Bam Bam | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Shine | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Make It Easy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jones Taxi | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Samadi Sky | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wushu Warrior | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mass Appeal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thomas Knight | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Very Colorful | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Mac Cool | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Precious | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crazy Bea | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dilly Dilly Philly | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I’m the Talent | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tara’s Talent | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Isabella Smile | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trolley Ride | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Double Doink | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Did I Stutter | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adhwaa | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sense a Million | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capital Q | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exogen | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gambit’s Girl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arima | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dalton | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Service | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exculpatory | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire’s Finale | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kwist | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spectatorless | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marvalous Mike | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wizky’s On the Bay | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Majestic Jazz | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Italian | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tommy’s Top Cat | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | West Fork | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Successful Zip | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ask Chuck | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunrise Saturday | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forman the Foreman | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jacks a Warrior | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Royal T | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Inky Dinky Do | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Get the W | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Adulation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | A J’s Way | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.