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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 14, 2021

May 14, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Quality Choice 4.50 5 9-1
13 12 Elementary 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Golden Spear 8.00 5.9 11-1
15 13 Trilogy 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Mo Zone 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Posterity 30.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Rumson Rally 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Uhwarrie Sky 20.00 7 13-1
10 9 Mokheef 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Projected (GB) 3.50 7.4 14-1
8 7 Year of the Kitten 30.00 8.2 15-1
11 10 Apreciado 8.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 King Mauro 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Atreyu 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Empty Nestr 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Dr Jack 2.50 3.3 6-1
10 8 Johnny Sack 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 9 Light Us Up 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 3 Sir Lenny 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 6 Royal Number 3.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Dream Big Dreams 20.00 6 11-1
6 4 American Fleet 12.00 6 11-1
3 2 Bananas On Fire 20.00 7 13-1
9 7 Plamen 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Omati 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Romp 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Miranda’s Desmond 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 6 Response Time 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Sizzling Hot 4.50 3.8 7-1
14 11 Eye of the Needle 10.00 4.3 8-1
15 12 Practically Dizzy 12.00 4.4 8-1
12 10 Discreet Dominique 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Digital Dream 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Princess Mia Rose 20.00 7 13-1
2 1 Hankie Pank 20.00 8 15-1
10 9 Shabang 20.00 8.9 17-1
5 4 Who Knows What 15.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 I Love Magel 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bellatora 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Kats in Charge 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Loan Biz 30.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Tricky Spirits 15.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Prodigious Bay 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Benandjoe 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Dinosaur Ben 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Ratify 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Point Driven 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Crouchelli 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Sea Ghost 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Armando R 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 13 American Goddess 2.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Beantown Baby 1.20 4.6 9-1
11 10 Memphis Mafia 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Caterina One 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Mischiefs Model 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Pretty Lori 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Bluefield 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Madam Maclean 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Chargina 15.00 7.7 14-1
6 5 Behind the Couch 15.00 7.7 15-1
9 8 Mike’s Girl 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Sublimity 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Moonrock 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Who U Gonna Call 20.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Eloquent Lady 30.00 10.3 19-1
14 12 Adabel 50.00 12.4 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Belle Tapisserie 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jeopardy James 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Charge to Victory 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Wondrwherecraigis 4.50 4.5 9-1
10 8 Stroll Smokin 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Where Paradise Lay 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 9 Youngest of Five 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Tringale 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Noble Commander 15.00 7.4 14-1
12 10 Carey Times 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Air Token 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Best of Greeley 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lucky Ramsey 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 On a Spree 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Weather Wiz 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Hard Fought 12.00 6.4 12-1
12 8 Street Copper 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Gunnison 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 7 Small Hope 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Missin the Big Dog 20.00 8.4 16-1
13 9 Kid Mercury 15.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Oxide 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 McElmore Avenue 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Rohrbacher 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hanalei’s Houdini 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Allaire Dupont Distaff Match Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Getridofwhatailesu 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dreamalildreamofu 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Mrs. Danvers 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Spice Is Nice 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Horologist 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Another Broad 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Lucky Stride 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Landing Zone 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Catch a Bid 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Victory Kingdom (AUS) 6.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Dixieincandyland 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Queen of Shades 8.00 4 8-1
12 12 Gotta Go Mo 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Caravel 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Gogo Shoes 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Buff’s in Love 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Epic Idea 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Dendrobia 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Can the Queen 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Miss Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Joyful Cadence 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Street Lute 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Abrogate 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Euphoric 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Red Ghost 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Paradise Song 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Juror Number Four 20.00 5 10-1
6 6 Prodigy Doll 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Inject 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Hilltop S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bubbles On Ice (IRE) 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Tracy Flick 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Arm Candy 12.00 4.4 8-1
13 11 Phantom Vision 10.00 5.2 10-1
12 10 Speed Lane 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mia Martina 5.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Alda 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Seasons 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Proper Attire 30.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Serenade a Kitten 20.00 7 13-1
9 8 Journeytothemoon 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Il Malocchio 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Double Fireball 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Out of Sorts 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Pimlico Special Match Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Modernist 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Fearless 1.80 3.3 6-1
4 4 Enforceable 10.00 3.5 7-1
11 10 Last Judgment 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Max Player 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Harpers First Ride 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Treasure Trove 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Prioritize 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Cordmaker 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Forewarned 30.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Alwaysmining 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Adventuring 4.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Beautiful Gift 1.80 2.9 5-1
8 8 The Grass Is Blue 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Willful Woman 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Iced Latte 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Army Wife 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Lady Traveler 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Spritz 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Forever Boss 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Miss Leslie 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Fool Yourself 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Fred’s Sheila 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Sally’s Mustang 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Celestial Diva 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Pearlyville 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Jungle Bride 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 My Dream Girl 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Joanie’s Sunset 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 No Down Days 5.00 5.6 11-1
13 12 Flava’s Dream 30.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Running On Entry 12.00 6.9 13-1
14 13 Why Not Tonight 15.00 7.6 14-1
15 14 Vesper 30.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Torre Branca 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Dancing Til Dusk 10.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Brief Reaction 50.00 11.4 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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