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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 14, 2021

May 14, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Irish Heatwave 1.60 2 4-1
2 2 Cleopatra’s Strike 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Seeking Refuge 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 The Stiff 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 French Getaway 4.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Jan Jan Can 4.00 4 8-1
4 3 Your Royal Coil 1.60 4.5 9-1
3 2 Blazing Charm 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Saving Sophie 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Cowboys Daughter 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Bella Renella 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 I Am Allthatyouare 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Exultation 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Rager 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fly the Sky 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 One Flew South 2.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sky Confidential 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Measureofdevotion 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Feeling Grazeful 1.20 3.7 7-1
3 2 Miss O’Brien 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Omg It’s Jessica 1.60 4.3 8-1
5 4 Valentine Ghost 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Aristeia 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Square Lady 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Enough Nonsense 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Prince Magician 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 K P Silver Bullet 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ahimaaz 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Epidemic 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Mahaamel (IRE) 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Big Dog Daddy 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 California Street 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 Question Authority 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Itsthattime 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Canyon Crest 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Street Behavior 3.50 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Play Chicken 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Big Talker 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Found My Ball 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Ferrariano 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Standing O 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Ingest 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Cargo 4.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Alpine Thunder 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chollima 1.80 2.2 4-1
7 7 Empressive Cat 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Girona 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Luck Be Mine 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Brilliant Bird 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Kirsch Truffle 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Ballet Royalty 30.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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