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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 15, 2021

May 15, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nerves of Steel 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Man Friday 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Barraza 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Flashiest 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Back Ring Luck 3.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Sensemaker 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Coastal Kid 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 House Limit 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Synthesis 1.60 3.4 6-1
2 2 Truth Seeker 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dr. Troutman 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mongolian Wind 4.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Lazaro Barrera S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wipe the Slate 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Laurel River 0.80 3 6-1
4 4 I’ll Stand Taller 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 The Chosen Vron 1.20 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Angel of Freedom 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Moart 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Witch Moon 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Fi Fi Pharoah 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Shell Shock 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Mongolian Mission 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bold Endeavor 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Kershaw 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Heywoods Beach 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sash (GB) 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Major Cabbie 5.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Liar Liar (IRE) 1.20 2.2 4-1
5 5 Hoop Dream 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Ox Bridge 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Absolute Unit 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Good Bye Putin 8.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Bud Knight 6.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 So Very Smart 6.00 2.3 4-1
13 12 Elgofranco 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Big Andy 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Sassy Chasey 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lips Like Sugar 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Supersonic Flyer 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Hot and a Mess 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 10 Medusa’s Gaze 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 V Bucks 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Half Hoping 4.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Pistachio Princess 12.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Pancakes and Beer 30.00 11 21-1
12 11 Mamas Got Cash 30.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chasing Fame 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Rocktillyoudrop 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Reckoning Day 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Goldini 2.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mucho Del Oro 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Titrate 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Wedding Groom 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Crossword 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Good With People 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 I Will Not 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Howbeit 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Whisky My God (ARG) 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Tap Back 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Explosive 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Littlebitamedal 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Rayray 10.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Newpark (IRE) 10.00 3 6-1
10 10 Subconscious 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Eagle Chief 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hollywoodhellraisr 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Magic Man 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Doncic 8.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Aurelian Man 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Harbored Memories 2.50 7 13-1
9 9 Istanbul 20.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Perfecto Amor 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Pro Bono 50.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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