May 16, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No One Cares | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Valentine | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spilled Perfume | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toms Maximillian | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Chimes | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marilyn’s Magic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Xtreme Lyra | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Abe | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nastida Mast | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Recount | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hearted Factor | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kit Check | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fast Sophia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | A Girl Like Me | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kelly Be Krusin | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chicken Or the Egg | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Seattle Bay | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holiday Romance | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Itsallaboutyou | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matchlock | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back the Blue | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Molleck | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rushin Tothe Front | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Edge of Ackworth | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stern | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justatapin | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keeping Secrets | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Effloresce | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoot Me Straight | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss On Fire | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Corot | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Contact | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Squall | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Cowboy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loud N Proud | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Ankeny | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blacktop Legend | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tap the Brakes | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Field | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Scorpio | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol Packin Man | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Cat Charlie | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Halo Jax | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Knight Disruptor | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rumpole | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swingin’ Sam | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blank It | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rock City Roadhog | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly First Class | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cold Snack Thirty | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.