May 17, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trusted Redemption | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Longtail | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Field Officer | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Skippy Go | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prefontaine | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Uncle Drew | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slam Bang | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Dance for Oro | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Champers | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Methodical | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kid Macho | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Auld Lange Syne | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | El Borracho | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Thorny Tale | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Speed Syndrome | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Grand Oasis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rock Ridge | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roan Mountain | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mithra | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Dude | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breithorn | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cantstoprunning | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Chubble | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Game | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Holiday Raid | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scarlet Lily | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | True Trinni | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Centre Court Champ | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reach for Thestars | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hey Dewzpots | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Weddinightjitters | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Lucky Heart | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A. C. Riggs | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pretty Spectacular | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steely Band | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Jones Boy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Am Redeemed | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Express | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bucks Are Moving | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O’Brien | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nicky Da Fox | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | E T’s Candy Man | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Madame Tiger | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Love On Fire | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Victoria E | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Magicgirl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Always Talking | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lolanita | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Miracle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Pretty Pants | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2X | 9 | Song Saver | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Onthisharvestmoon | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dance for the Gold | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Boom Boom Girl | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carly Hustle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Powwa of Love | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kirtan | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Ryan | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brooklyn Heights | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tappin Beauty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Juliet’s Music | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’am a Unicorn | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luscious Lola | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Le Petite Papillon | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Create a Story | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Congaree Rose | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empress Irene | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stepping Forward | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dona Camile | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Victory Built | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hangar One | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Top Boss | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Chub On Da Run | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Motataabeq | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Catch My Vibe | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | American Quality | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saponara | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sailor Again | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Manny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dakota Outlaw | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Get Set | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Geebert | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Rain | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Jude | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chrisatude | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Tony P | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manahawkin | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Mountain | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Special Risk | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Grace and Peace | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Wildly Good Lookin | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Ice | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | What About Tonight | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Sky | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baltimore Beauty | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morissette | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Woman Flyer | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Luna Azteca | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Enchantabull | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Memorize | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mad Mary | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.