May 18, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | McV American Girl | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Desert Fury | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Jrs Speedy Jess | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Jf Mr Jingles | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Love Me Some Cash | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Shes Jess So Special | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | I Noah Guy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
10 | 10 | Jessa Blue Runner | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Passme Game | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Toast to Sir Runaway | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Mr Copper Wind | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Midnight Biscuit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Docs Sfj | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Corona Blue Bye U | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Patriot Mountain | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tee Cos Queen | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | El Senor Tee | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Rougaroux | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Kiss My Wild Candy | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
8 | 7 | Angel Guns | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Louisiana Pawn | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Rollin Red Clover | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Jla Double Down Dash | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Dox Last Card | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hez Fast | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Jrs Runaway Man | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Carters Wild Shannon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Gia Dashing Bye | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Zige Zige Zoom | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Brays French Toast | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Fast Fancy Doll | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | The Blues Train | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Jess Blue Game | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Merica | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Sweet Lavish Jess | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
10 | 10 | Zoomin Dash | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Jls Mr Prospect | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
4 | 4 | Tf Dashin and Flyin | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Tdz Foose Express | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Shez Inseperable | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Brileys Prize Doc | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Jla Indy Rogue | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Sheza Classy Rogue | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Jess Tailor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Just Plain Deadly | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Sizzzlin | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
9 | 8 | Diamonds N Coronas | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mi Sugar Shack | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Too Jealous | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Bellas Fantasy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Brakeaway Dash | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Rocket Dash Wrangler | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Hqh Runaway Platinum | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Running for Coronas | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Tha Highway Man | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Fast Sweet 8 | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
3 | 3 | Davids Last Game | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
5 | 5 | Negociante Cartel | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Supa Five Bar | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Barnett Cartel | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Easy Jumpn Jet | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Favorite Fast Dash | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Jj Heza Fast Dash Jr | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Streakin N the Wind | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Jessalilbit | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Whos My Papa | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
1 | 1 | Rh Jess Momo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
9 | 9 | La Prize Streak | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Alyssas Boy | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
10 | 10 | Synergized | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Jett Black Special | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Jess Kalies Fortune | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Freighttrain Six | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Js Lipsync | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Ttt El Seniso | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Famous Pilot Point | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
1 | 1 | Jrs Heza Hot Tee | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Scartel | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Lafitte | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Tf One Sweet Secret | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Jet Star Patriot | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Lynns Tee Cos Love | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Carolines Rocket | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Dyna Phoebe | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | I Break Da Rules | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Rbd Lu Boor Ee Ka | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Feature Mr Louisiana | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Im Moonin Too | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Tk Struttin Royal | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
10 | 10 | A Real World | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Hudson | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Tee Kajun Queen | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Cashs Special Corona | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Jrs Toasted Dragon | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Aintgonbreakmystride | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Haydens Tee Time | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Brace for Cartels | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Heza Okey Dokey Kat | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.