May 20, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Amen Corner | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Seven Plus Seven | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Booyakasha | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Holy Saint | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Outside the Box | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Ellerbe | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Byebye Byebye | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Proper Storm | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Baffle ‘Em | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Monster Rising | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Self Assured | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
11 | 10 | Laugh It Off | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Smart Entry | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Bella Bettina | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | My Girl Blue | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
8 | 8 | Polish Cookie | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
7 | 7 | Same Moon | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
10 | 10 | Love My Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Map the Moment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | No Valla | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Nana’s Shoes | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Sammie Sunshine | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Wicked Solution | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Volador | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Better Yet | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Sundrenched | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Rag Top | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Belmullet | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
11 | 9 | Pay the Kid | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
13 | 10 | Claw | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
10 | 8 | Mosby’s Ranger | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
2 | 1 | Scottsdale | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 5 | So Dialed In | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
8 | 6 | Keepyourguardup | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
4 | 3 | Tyreek | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Spitball | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Disputed Notion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Kens Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Championship Alley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Shelly Island | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Bychance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 2 | Exchange Fever | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
9 | 7 | Tiz Golden | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Flash Lightening | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Roy G. Biv | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Orbonthebayou | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Royalian | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Imaginethejoy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Transfer the Funds | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Military Commander | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Union Charm | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Coral Legacy | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Captain Thunder | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Rum Bobby | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Seville Barber | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Makes Mo Cents | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | More Twirl | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mine to Hold | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Ludicrous Mode | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Audacious Quality | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Gottaway | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Pawnbroker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Make a Stand | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Beach Traffic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Goldenlineof | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Fleetridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Meldon | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Sosua | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Map of America | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Pretty Edgy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Be Present | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Laughin’ Place | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Stay Out | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Bribery | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Company Clown | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Cooke Brothers | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Natty Beau | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Confusion Baby Boy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Dynamic Day | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Fernwood Drive | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.