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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 20, 2021

May 20, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Amen Corner 6.00 3 6-1
7 6 Seven Plus Seven 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Booyakasha 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 2 Holy Saint 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Outside the Box 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Ellerbe 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Byebye Byebye 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Proper Storm 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Baffle ‘Em 1.20 4.7 9-1
1 1 Monster Rising 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Self Assured 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Laugh It Off 3.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Smart Entry 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Bella Bettina 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 My Girl Blue 15.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Polish Cookie 12.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Same Moon 30.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 Love My Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Map the Moment 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 No Valla 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nana’s Shoes 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Sammie Sunshine 1.80 3.1 6-1
1 1 Wicked Solution 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Volador 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Better Yet 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sundrenched 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Rag Top 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Belmullet 2.50 4 8-1
11 9 Pay the Kid 4.50 4.8 9-1
13 10 Claw 5.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Mosby’s Ranger 5.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 Scottsdale 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 So Dialed In 4.50 7.5 14-1
8 6 Keepyourguardup 15.00 9.2 17-1
4 3 Tyreek 10.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Spitball 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Disputed Notion 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kens Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Championship Alley 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Shelly Island 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bychance 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Exchange Fever 15.00 10.6 20-1
9 7 Tiz Golden 15.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flash Lightening 2.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Roy G. Biv 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Orbonthebayou 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Royalian 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Imaginethejoy 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Transfer the Funds 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Military Commander 30.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Union Charm 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Coral Legacy 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Captain Thunder 3.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Rum Bobby 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Seville Barber 4.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Makes Mo Cents 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 More Twirl 6.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Mine to Hold 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Ludicrous Mode 12.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Audacious Quality 15.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Gottaway 20.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Pawnbroker 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Make a Stand 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Beach Traffic 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Goldenlineof 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Fleetridge 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Meldon 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sosua 1.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Map of America 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Pretty Edgy 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Be Present 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 Laughin’ Place 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Stay Out 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bribery 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Company Clown 1.80 2.4 4-1
6 6 Cooke Brothers 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Natty Beau 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Confusion Baby Boy 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dynamic Day 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fernwood Drive 30.00 4.1 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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