June 16, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Gem Cartel | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Fastn Inseperable | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
10 | 9 | Chris Is Special | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Mad At the Moon | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Jessa Blue Runner | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Heza Labron | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Shes a Duponte Chick | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 8 | Ekg Shezthelastdash | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dove Connection | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | The Cajun Cartel | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 5 | Jessbye Train | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Annas T Time | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cartels Hitman | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | The Blues Train | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Dl Quick Joyride | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Butter Me Perry | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Dashers Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 8 | Jrs Speedy Jess | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | King Alexi | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Sweet But Psycho B | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Mr Jet Black Magic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 6 | My High Card | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 7 | Diamante Sign Jess | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Bp Thevaliantpolicy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Diamonds N Coronas | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Imagine This Jet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Jp Boss Baby | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Jess Cuervo Time | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Getting Some of That | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Tinys First Patriot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Magic Mountain Pilot | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Cosicandash | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Jrs Shining Fantasy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Carters Chicawa | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Rkm Jet Black Perry | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Tf Runaways Toasted | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
9 | 8 | Bonafyde | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Ace Up His Sleeve | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | The Louisiana Pilot | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cartersdirtymartini | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Sir Future | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Reddernecker | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hello Sweet One | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
10 | 9 | Runacrossyourmind | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Mr Perfect Tlc | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Sir Louisiana Dash | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Mag 1 | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Brileys Prize | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Two Nine Go | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Apollitcal Bye | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | La Savanne | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Openup the Bar | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Rf Apolliticalcookie | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Sheza Bama Girl | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Son of a Rogue | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Lil Boy Blue | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Wicked Blue Streak | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Fast Dashin Logan | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Shu Boppin Samantha | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Sweet N Sassy Jetta | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Runaway Freedom | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
1 | 1 | Big Red Loves Corona | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
7 | 7 | Freighttrain Six | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Red Faced Rogue | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Df Fabulous Maiden | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Barnett Cartel | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Tf Seperatin | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Seven Tales | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Apollitical Bug | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 2 | Jessa Louisiana Dash | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Ajs Louisiana Fast | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Quick and Dirty | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Ranch Rover | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Rf Fearless Jet | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Trump Card Kkr | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Jessa Sizzlin | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Gpf Lawman | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Hamilton Tlc | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Into the Grey | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
9 | 9 | Ghost in the Machine | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | I Kiss Da Girls | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.