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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 18, 2021

June 18, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Egomaniac 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Semi Charmed Day 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Rakeez 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Dark Wood (IRE) 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dom Caetano (ARG) 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Edison Fire 4.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Intuicao (BRZ) 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 4 Moon of Love (IRE) 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Senora Roma 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Aiken to Be 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Angelcents 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Richies Great Girl 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 The Gray Blur 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Givin Up None 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Grand Hideaway 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Chapel Barn 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Beast Mode 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Crankshaft 4.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 V Man 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Majestic John’s 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Get None 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Wanna Have Fun 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Vegan Goes Best 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 7 Rapid Transit 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Hey Hey 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Hoppestry 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 U. S. Currency 10.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Nothins Free 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Juju’s Specialgirl 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tinderella 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 6 Stormy Empire 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Kenai Cool 6.00 3 6-1
4 3 Bobbie too Too 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Bodemax 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Lil B Quick 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Chlobee 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ioya Again 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 6 Iwillpersevere 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Tuff Attack 10.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Fly Nightly 1.80 2.9 5-1
6 5 Coming Up Aces 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Silver Quarters 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Baroque 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 High On Sugar 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Huey Attack 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Jimmy D 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Duchossois 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Krewe Chief 2.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Campioni 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Bourbon Tan 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Hardly a Secret 4.50 7.7 15-1
6 6 And Won 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gagoots 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Zarmae 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Smiling Silas 2.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Night Things 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Pocket Player 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Christmas Present 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 8 Half Cocked 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Tom’s Last General 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Hey Griff 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 War Lance 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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