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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 24, 2021

June 24, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Sassy Melissa 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Appreciate 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Ginger Kitty 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Quantitativbreezin 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 4 Jades Gelly 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 7 Jasminesque 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 Chloe Rose 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Game Theory 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Big Tony’s Girl 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Quasar 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sand and Sea 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Grand Ave Girl 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Beautiful Farewell 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Venus Oyzo 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mun Luv 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Firing Carol 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Digital Future 1.40 1.3 3-1
7 6 The Big Grey 10.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Everesting 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 King James 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 First Law 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Run Smitty Run 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Kentucky Knight 50.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Repo Rocks 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Afleeting Glance 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Make Or Break 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Irresistible Girl 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Blue Paynt 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Hey It’s Tati 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 7 Stay Home Mama 12.00 5 9-1
7 6 Rosies Surprise 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Magicallydelicious 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Regal Speaker 2.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 The Golden Door 4.00 4 8-1
4 3 Western Advantage 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Point Him Out 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Simply 5.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Matty’s Express 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Agent Creed 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 The Last Ace 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Michael’s Bad Boy 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Tiergan 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Theodora Grace 6.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Write This Down 4.00 2.4 5-1
12 12 Merry Maiden 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Undetectable 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Kaz’s Princess 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Constitutionalrage 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Not a Trace 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Barrel of Bliss 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Ethel’s Doctorate 30.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Little Ms Scarlet 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Saratoga Lullaby 20.00 6.4 12-1
13 13 Bella Principessa 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tales of Makenna 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mia Calia 50.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 6 Violent Trick 3.50 2.5 5-1
3A 3 Viradia 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Daria’s Angel 1.60 2.7 5-1
1 1 Customerexperience 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 5 Mongolian Humor 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Flat Awesome Jenny 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Pecan Pattie 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lottie’s Mizzion 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Catch a Bid 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Madeleine Must (FR) 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Robin Sparkles 1.80 3.4 6-1
2 2 Jakarta 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Call On Mischief 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Karak 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Unique Factor 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 True Castle 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Barre 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Lemon Taffy 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Boomkittybyebye 12.00 2.9 6-1
13 11 Prairie Tales 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Masu 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 9 The Promised Road 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Fastelle 15.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 Stoney’s Due 30.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Mazal Eighteen 8.00 5.4 10-1
15 12 Reeley Psyched 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Mill Stone Creek 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Roxen 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Shea On a Mission 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 New York Dancer 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Happy Hill Lil 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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