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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 26, 2021

June 26, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Charlo 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Kingsbury Dream 1.40 2.7 5-1
2 2 Launch Away 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Rank and File 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Manhattan Legacy 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lion Love 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dick the Bruiser 20.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Oh Say (IRE) 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 3 Richiesgotgame 1.40 3.6 7-1
2 1 Bryce Canyon 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 2 Navy Seal 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Frontier Charlie 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Clarestown 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Sport 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 First Masamune 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 President Elect 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Can’t Say No 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Game Boy Benny 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Follow the Signs 3.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Smack 2.00 4 8-1
1 1 Unburnt 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Imbued 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Zawadi 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Magic Solution 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Irish Halo 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Sequaya 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Jane’s Gold Tour 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Varsity Flygirl 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 American Sanctuary 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 2 Tough to Tame 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 3 One Timer 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Degree of Risk 6.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Unpredictable Bay 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Sport Pepper 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Roger McQueen 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 High On Sugar 12.00 2.1 4-1
9 6 P H Factor 1.40 3.7 7-1
2 1 And Won 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 5 Antrim’s Giant 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 2 Perfectly Majestic 4.00 8.3 16-1
5 3 Christian C 8.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Half of Manhattan 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fade Away 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bourbon Tan 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Here Comes Kyle 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hanshin Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Betwithbothhands 10.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Lemon Kick 12.00 1.9 4-1
6 3 Guest Suite 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 7 Blue Sky Kowboy 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 6 Captivating Moon 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 What’s Up Dude 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Richiesinthehouse 2.50 5.4 10-1
7 4 Background 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Bizzee Channel 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wile E Peyote 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Chicago S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Amazima 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 She Can’t Sing 12.00 4.8 9-1
11 9 Dreamalildreamofu 2.50 4.9 9-1
10 8 Our Bay B Ruth 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Abby Hatcher (IRE) 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Mariafoot (FR) 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Ambassador Luna 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Compelling Smile 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Mind Out 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 5 Club Car 4.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 W W Fitzy 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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