July 23, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | We All Agree | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Your Ringer | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Exes | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame It On Rose | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Giraffe | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Areeb | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Muay Thai (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vantage Point | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man Friday | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optimistic Valor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capper | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enough Nonsense | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stone’s River | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cumberland Avenue | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eight Makar | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vaporized | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honorary Degree | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Bliss | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Test Drive | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Roan Ranger | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Catter | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Flatter | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Mischief | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Family Biz | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Order and Law | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Azul Coast | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shadrack | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Dance | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taishan | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rookie Year | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Man On the Moon | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Fame | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tribal Nation | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twilight Rider | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mount Pelliar | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Language Barrier | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Launch Pad | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Distant Vista (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander (FR) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tilted Towers | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lieutenant Dan | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fight On | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love My Jimmy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rager | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Citrus Burst | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fleet Treat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Teddy’s Barino | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fi Fi Pharoah | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closing Remarks | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m So Anna | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Respectfully | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eddie’s New Dream | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joymaker | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amazen Grazen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Really Big News | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Donner Lake | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Henchman | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wilder Than Most | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talklessworkmore | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harbor Sky | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger’s Arrow | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eagle in the Sky | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Club Mesquite | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | New Soi Phet | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auspicious Style | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Larry’s Legend | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tallemark | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Just About Enough | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.