July 26, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mda Jess My Dasher | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cartel Chatterbox | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brace for Cartels | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tk Struttin Royal | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rl Runaway Doll | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rr Golo | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runs Like Jagger | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Fiving Henrytkt | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mps Grand Magic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bp Fling in a Wagon | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Running a Big Wave | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dagouti Leaving You | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lrh Heart of Glass | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mp Sixty Silky | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Xdw Catch a Rouge | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Jess Bar Chick | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Dashin Effort | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three R Corona | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Runaway Dash | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Okey Dokey Kat | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aj Taylors Cartel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moms Corona | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bebe Jordan | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Treps Blue | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Special Dashing Miss | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Dilly Dilly | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Herez the Bar | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Fancy Doll | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Swingin Martini | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jet Piloto | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paint Me Patriot | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ajs Victory Beers | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Small Town Soul | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tf Eyes Plain Strutn | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sizzlin Mate | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rcv Divide the Money | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Amazing Blood | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fanci Guns | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jp Boss Baby | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Del Quinto | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Crawfish | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Inseperable | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Know Corona | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandstone | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Send Fletcher | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rh Ariano Dream | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Painted by Perry | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Steam Rollyr | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Swamp Eagle | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Nine Go | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Toreto | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Polar Xpress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Cos Im Kool | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cajun Cos | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Seis Train B | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Quick Zest | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dog Soldier Swift | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chloes Wildondamoney | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overcast | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Cash Cosino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Jet Victory | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Magic Piloto | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I Noah Guy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Littlenginethatcould | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fast Dashin Rocket | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jrs Carters Baby G | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jrs Shiney Tee | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Tough | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hez Jess a Cartel | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leaving in a Rush | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee Bone Special | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mm Fast Prize Corona | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Her Dream | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sizzlin N Louisiana | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Standing Ovation | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In Blues Dreams | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Easy Blue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Tf One Sweet Guy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I Am the Guy Yall | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shesabadmoonrising | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tf Ms Sweet Mallard | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kaioken Cartel | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Encino Man | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shesa Bold Mvp | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancin With Blue | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye Opener On Fire | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.