September 5, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hillbilly | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backchat | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He Ain’t No Saint | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Darnley | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Duel Fuel | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Justice Warrior | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye David | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Linguist | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Einstein | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sette Stelle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Finding Mischief | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Halfway Right | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Deputy | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnnie Got Jets | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Toolegittoquit | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blazinonbayou | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes It’s Free | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | J D’s Vista | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aspropodia | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rubyinthestars | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allsystemsareago | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kozy Village | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Brody’s Honor | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Uptown Queen | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Wind | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theuncapturedlady | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Katz a Dream | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Domineering | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Mishka | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovin Livin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Siren’s Lucky Song | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Race Day Speed | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gregs Posse | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fru Fru Zan | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frost This | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alluramore | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Nugget | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Latte Lover | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sinless | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sena the Duchess | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Feeling Dangerous | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Express Pharoah | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majority Rules | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Political Riot | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suleman | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Ziggy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Navajo Creed | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Boy E. J. | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Florida Express | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shining Through | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Benjamin | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hey Porter | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Ruler | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes I’m a Beast | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laki Lio | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roman Poet | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Juan | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bear’s Den S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Papetu | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Officiating | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fulmini | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Socio | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dark Timber | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alabama Slammer | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Mike | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Exchange Day | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ocean Ride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dana Grace | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Takes Heart | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chez Paree | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rain | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forever Marta | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fantastic Kingdom | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy of Course | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Man of Honor | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Inter Miami | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Romario | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miles Ahead | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Double Crown | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Breakthrough | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Yes I Am Free | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Malraux | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Citrus Burst | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tiger Blood | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Captain Ron | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | He’s Royalty | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Foster Hope | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Like Mike | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Gap | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sixty One | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Current Hope | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Step Ed | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Exchange | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frankie Z | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Pip | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.