September 5, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Cheeks | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orbaline | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Ticket | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Fan | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Matthaus | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a True Fox | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Georgian Dancer | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joy’s Solution | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Bonita | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Point | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Green | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meyer | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Storm | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | English Classic | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muskoka Giant | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maverick Man | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flame Zapper | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Download | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boxer Brief | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Maple | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Romantic | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Drive | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Browning Island | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cousin Bob | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kawacatoose | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hullabaloo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seventh Wonder | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lapochka | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Threshold | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carmenootz | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Solar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Court Battle | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burning Man | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gigantic Breeze | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Faraway Kitten | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coleyville | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Salvator Mundi | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Full Extreme | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dotted Line | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Native Prince | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Girl Sky | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legs Like Shack | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixiewish | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loaded Secret | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laila’s Charm | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Pool | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Gamble | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Fire | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foresters Princess | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Puddle Stomp | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shangassah | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Easy Weekend | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breaking Alone | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lion Kingdom | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Veloce | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Critic | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tricky Magician | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argentium | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reliability | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stowaway | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Court | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stronger Together | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laraque | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rum Cup | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broke an Broken | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Day Tripper | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shamateur | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pot Committed | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lithuanian King | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Punch Hard | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Juan Pablo | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Win d’Oro | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rogue Affair | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | British Royalty | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canadian Pharoah | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battle of Yorktown | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muchokova | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prideofdistinction | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seventyseven Stone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Neptune’s Pearl | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stencil | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thatnightintoronto | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Emoji | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twister Alert | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ol’ Blondie | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Surge | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Fuji | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Few Regrets | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Maxy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellaspina | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Twelfth | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alpha Mia | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal City Reign | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Born to Be Good | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bearthestorm | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shishka | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Top Prize Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nice Company | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sea of Diamonds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Viani | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Audition | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bella Lalou | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reload the Bank | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Topper | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.