September 10, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Salty Candy | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Size It | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cardiff Hall | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Will | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Attitude | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Homelander | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mane Society | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Fanfare | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Sensation | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | We’ve Had Enough | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thanks Laura | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Kitty | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carla’s Honor | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Reload | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Cashmere | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devil in Her Heart | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassywithattitude | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Lavender | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Original Me | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zafeather | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tarantula | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Its a Birdie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Mambo | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Laser | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Viewfinder | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Primo Touch | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wedgewood | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Split My Pants | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timeskip | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Cindervella | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Westlodge Intrigue | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Gelato Amore | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Big Mistake | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nisha | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Airy Fairy | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Warning Belle | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Sea Lily | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Leon Azul | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Bear | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Wind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hassah (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wake Up Maggie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 11 | Forest Halo | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Forty Smooth | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Whammie | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zia Mo | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Crumlin Bird | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cedar Valley | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Mia’s Authority | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Leaveyoubreathless | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rum Raisin | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Edition | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classy Gizmo | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Princessa Polly | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Hill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | I’m Not Perfect | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tenpenny Nail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Practical Gizmo | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Bestia | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Zadracarta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Summer Sunday | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amalfi Sky | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hell N Wild | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sav | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Millennium Force | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Dream | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Ballerina | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fact Checking | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Speed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grazely | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Viature | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artie My Boy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kosmonavt | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Selfmade | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jacobs Call | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highland Society | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kuduro | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torpedo Max | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Handsome | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duke of Miami | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Union Appreciation | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shakoo Makoo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double the Heart | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Agnelli | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Melody | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Robusto | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gottoknowrightnow | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.