September 17, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Candy Fable | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heliacal Rising | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dotada | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Opening Night | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Teruko | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nonna Tee | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crying for More | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Seville Row | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pat’s Factor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreamin of Seville | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glorious Weekend | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monyinthebanksey | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Titrate | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gas Money | 3.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tempting Moment | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Supporting Actor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Goldie’s Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Da Money | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liberty Star | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jack of Hearts | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatchasaid | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pederson’s Courage | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Premiere Choice | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Amigo | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eponine | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zola B | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Odds | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drinknwhiskeynrye | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Travel Girl | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salamina | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Expect the Sunrise | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bullets Lady | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Love Dust | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heart of Secrets | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Square Penny | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Looks Don’t Lie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 99 | Looking for Love | 0.00 | SCRATCH | |||
| 99 | Missawlet | 0.00 | SCRATCH | |||
| 9 | 9 | Mosler’s Touch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Time After Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Island Philo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dew Dat | 3.50 | 14.4 | 27-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carolina Ice | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Fog | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unrequited Love | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold and Strike | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Noise | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corn Off the Cob | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Cents | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Movie Score | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Money Fromheaven | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Majorette | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Too Much Tip | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lilacs | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellanation | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whispurring Kitten | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifteen Royals | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | My Good Man | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Walk Away Joe | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silent Malice | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Universal Payday | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Big Beautiful Wall | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Bustoff | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pubilius Syrus | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Contraflow | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Weather Wiz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Direct Order | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dragon Moon | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Silence | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rising Perry | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Thunder | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon and Ice | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zorb | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warm Sunny Breeze | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Dialed In | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boondoggle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Justwaveandsmile | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shelly Island | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slippin Jimmy | 2.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ace Nine Nine | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Demo Doctor | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Jackie A | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heir Port | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Abuelo Paps | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Rad Paisley | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Going to the Lead | 2.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Rock the Boat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Hemp | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Pauping | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Busster Von Trappe | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grecian Pharoah | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Frank’s Way | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of Carats | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Everything | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Caps | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Striking It Lucky | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nicky Bear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.