September 19, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | King Shawn | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempting Moment | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Trek | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lifespan | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Boondoggle | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crack the Safe | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zip the Lip | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Courage | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frat | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Putin Online | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bloodprof | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Candy Cool | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shake Em Loose | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Room | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | General’s Duty | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Leader | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bust’em Kurt | 1.20 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Toned Up | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Fireball | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Talking Girl | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Til Dusk | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten With a Whip | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oil On Canvas | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Down Days | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Mercury | 1.40 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One More Factor | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chambo | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Uncle | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deshackled | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Political Decision | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ladneedsahandler | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Bold Bandit | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jammer | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Step | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Rate | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Extra Medium | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hambone | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No More Talk | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Fought | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backwoods Boogie | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Call Wil | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Abundance | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Itsknownasthebern | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mint Game | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trouble Coffee | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | T Minus Ten | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Survey (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coral Legacy | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Knockholt | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frankee Merch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Stalker | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lost My Vowcher | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rum Bobby | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tankerville | 3.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Revolutionary Road | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Buzz | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amen Corner | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Air On Fire | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cape Lookout | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock and Fellers (ARG) | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Good Year | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Compass Zone | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sandy Lane Kitten | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gussy Mac (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Bubble (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mokheef | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beacon Hill | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passion Play | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shackled Love | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Artemus Bridge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rohrbacher | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Peachy Between Us | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Play Charades | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Tourist | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charliv | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Superstasia | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Monster Rising | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love My Cat | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ephemeral | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Empty Net | 3.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver and Blues | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Girl Blue | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Post Box | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Windrush Karma | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mary Jane Chrome | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wrongfully Accused | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | My Dream Girl | 3.50 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.