September 23, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Southside Swig | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charm City Band | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hartel | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Billingsgate | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smitten Enough | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flank Speed | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | H R H Jellybean | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Auchincruive | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zip Line to Heaven | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gale Winds | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Titan’s Will | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bahama Channel | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayne’s Fever | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Threethehardway | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rough Sea | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glengar | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Effulgent | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let Us Make Gold | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doc Elm | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Cardo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tradition | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Bobbie | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rippolino | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Francis X. | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fudge Cake | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dial Emma Reilly | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Dancer | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheriff’s Kid | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Way Or Else | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notion Interruptus | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adabel | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bella Thyme | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ghost Maiden | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tasfeeq | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Drop Kiss | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Misty’s Banshee | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Self Assured | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tunnel Strike | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nicolar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Toss a Coin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Who Knows What | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Broadway Melody | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Little Nutter | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lucky Lorraine | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Polish Cookie | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Incontrovertible | 10.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pounding Music | 3.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Derby Julep | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Talia | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dry Well | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rubi de Leon | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Casey | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Redwhiteandtacos | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spicy Margarita | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mejoramiga | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Story | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Boss | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Misty’s Lass | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cost a Fortune | 1.80 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spitball | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rock Ridge | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miami Mumbles | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Response | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Chi Rho | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Right Path | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dialing Dixie | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Bull | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Semper Fi | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sebastian | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eric’s Empire | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreaming of Carats | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Shooter | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Prankster | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Everything | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Rain | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inspector Frost | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Emperor | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arthur’s Hope | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Band On Tour | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factor It In | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Token | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dendrobia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cannon’s Roar | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | So Street | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Love You Much | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forever Yours | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Avenue | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sloe Gin Biz | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Notion to Tapit | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Ash | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Claudee Boy | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jim Bome Bome | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Trip | 1.40 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.