September 23, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Orbaline | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Final Trick | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Bobbit | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classy n’ Silent | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Ticket | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elite Princess | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Destiny | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Empress | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hoping for a Ring | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lacougra | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Fret | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Edition | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Tormenta | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avie’s Sky | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Billee | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parable | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gorgeous Kitten | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suitedconnected | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artistico | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courtly Manner | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spa Jazz | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Am Prepared | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Perlarana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Epilogue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cerrado | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Factoring | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Modus Operandi | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Magic | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Good Witch | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Westlodge Intrigue | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finding Perfection | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Merino Wool | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hassah (GB) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest Halo | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Doll | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai Queen | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get None | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halfinthewrapper | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ladies Signature | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gelato Amore | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valley Girl | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Lily | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Flirt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pierian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secret Path | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tracking Gold | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party of No | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gendragon | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pickhimupsup | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Synchromesh | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Advance | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quantum Velocity | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Afleet Eddie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dominant Factor | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strike a Beat | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Personal Journey | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pride and Passion | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L’Etat (GER) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Alliance | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abraxas | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jax Elite Win | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Snow | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Deeply in Love | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overstate | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rosa’s Soul | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blu Sky Sunrise | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Polar Appeal | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Born to Be Good | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cliff’s Head | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devine Dancing | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Royal City Reign | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Miah | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delightful Dreamer | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toosexyformypants | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea of Diamonds | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flaxen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.