September 25, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Darling Donna | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Matcha | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alice Harper | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Wild Woman | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Twodogsfourcats | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sebago Lake | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Argentina Girl | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bienvenue | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Serena | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bellita | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Essence | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Veinte | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stern Chaser | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Love On Fire | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashing Diamond | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bucks Some | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayleaf | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Loyalty | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Le Petite Papillon | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Dillingham | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charity Stripe | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dreaming Diamonds | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caramel Cream | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Always Talking | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sevier | 0.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Geebert | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Case | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Louie’s Wish | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Edge | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Genghis | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twixy Cat | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Train | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Manahawkin | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catch Fire | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Borsa Vento | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Motion Picture | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Honorable One | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Swish | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Flying With Angels | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Cousin Rich | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Semper Fidelis | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Outworknforakiss | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bet On Gret | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Its About My Time | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruffy | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Lime | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Doom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Stella’s Tour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bode O | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O’Brien | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alpha’s Candy Man | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gunfighter | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brindisi | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eloquist | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenner | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smarten Up | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vine Jet | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Runner | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Egot a Poker Face | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Jeremy | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Supreme Being | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noneedtoworry | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dangnabbit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Plum Pretty S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vault | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trolley Ride | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Precious | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marion Francis | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promised Storm | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chub Wagon | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ninetypercentbrynn | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amen Sylvia | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Parx Dirt Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | West Will Power | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Warrior’s Charge | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thorny Tale | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mind Control | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silver State | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rock On Luke | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Informative | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreams Untold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Greenwood Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moretti | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Michael | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Math Wizard | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheer Flattery | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shooger Ray Too | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Samurai | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Foam | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin At Roses | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forewarned | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Turf Monster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Firecrow | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Battle Station | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Caravel | 1.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beer Can Man | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carotari | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Hollywood Talent | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Admiral Abe | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | West Fork | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amblin Man | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth B | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Belgrano | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | The Connector | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | King’s House | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gallant Bob S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Beren | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jackie’s Warrior | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Talk | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pickin’ Time | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Gerry | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Newbomb | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Marvalous Mike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Cotillion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maracuja | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clairiere | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Army Wife | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Always Carina | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allworthy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Leader of the Band | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obligatory | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Will’s Secret | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Private Mission | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bourbonic | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot Rod Charlie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Americanrevolution | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Weyburn | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fulsome | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Bourbon | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Speaker’s Corner | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Am Redeemed | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keepmeinmind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Medina Spirit | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Alphabet Soup H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Must Chill | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Cork | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Viski Jones | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wait for It | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papal Law | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stonegate | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Someday Jones | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Jack | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Rain | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saint Marco | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Missin the Big Dog | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.