September 30, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chicago River | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duart Castle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Peace Out | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Me Disappear | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rona | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Looks Don’t Lie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Startwithabang | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Our Sweet Pea | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bosconovitch | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Melody | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Who Knows What | 3.50 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cairo Queen | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win Then Grin | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arbutus | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sacred Lady | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Blessing | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imagine Victory | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lambeau Lady | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Point Beach | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awfully Foxy | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pearly Ghost | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Midnight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Boat Money | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Felons Only | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Berries | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Qualy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Control | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Sides of Love | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vergara | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gossiping | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Still My Babe | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Determined Hope | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Senson | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Find Your Boaz | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shaka Style | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Rinne | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Semi Excited | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golazo | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manicomio | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Threethehardway | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bozzini | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Talented Dr. B | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hayne’s Fever | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Betcha by Golly | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unrequited Love | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapidashqueen | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polished Gal | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Idea | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tea in China | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miranda’s Desmond | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Response Time | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Skylark | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Can | 1.60 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Volador | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unshakable U | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Backstreet Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dance Warrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Line Dancing | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Dreaming | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Magic Election | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fionnbharr | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lisheen | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vibrancy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Batyah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Aurum | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Traffic Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mo Normal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | No Ordinary Time | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Date Night Kisses | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Beauty | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jackie the Joker | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derwin’s Starlet | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kymmies Chardonnay | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All in Jest | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Towser | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She Is Wisky | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preparefortakeoff | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dendrobia | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Company | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can the Queen | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Needs Supervision | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Grace | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Glass | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dontletsweetfoolya | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rather Nosy | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Robin Sparkles | 1.20 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fox Force Five | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Entry | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonder City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chelsea Wall | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rooney | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Nichols | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfume River | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Along the Way | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amplio Esquema | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sally’s Mustang | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.