October 1, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Linda Loves Lace | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Final Trick | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classy n’ Silent | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elite Princess | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bobbit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherubic | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Destiny | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Fabulous | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Ticket | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Everyday Magic | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Hoity Toity | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Bombolini | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flippin | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Proposal | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loaded Vixen | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exit Stage Right | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nice Quist | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Divine Genesis | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alternative View | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eleanor Powell | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | If Six Was Nine | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Penetanguishene | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Choose Hope | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Cross | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ivy’s Star | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Selfmade | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hyperfocus | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Critic | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seguimi | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Breathlessnthesand | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Kingdom | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Veloce | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Entry to Heaven | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Cohiba | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lyrical Gangster | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itmakesmewonder | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Victor | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bahia Girl | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoping for a Ring | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Shadows | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momma Carrie | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spin That Tune | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Psarris | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kerics Beauty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billyjane | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hekla’s Aura | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just Start Me Up | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Magic Mountain | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Strong Attitude | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Virreinato | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Jewel | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Love That Madison | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Magical | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Hills Bronco | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Bari | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Band Coming | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Christian | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Danielle’s Song | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Scarborough Bluffs | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Kalen | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Doll | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai Queen | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get None | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halfinthewrapper | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ladies Signature | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valley Girl | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hasn’t Hit Me Yet | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Airy Fairy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Veery | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Silence | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gamble’s Silver | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Sky | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bonniecrest | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Exceptional | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imaginary Sky | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucas n’ Lori | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Matinee | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Self Inflicted | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Boy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Final Strike | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knopfler | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uno Champ | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Agnelli | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robusto | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Secret | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Take Checks | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Majestic Melody | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sundance Hit | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.