October 3, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Karakontie Pat | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maakwa | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greyshott | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cousin Bob | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Sniper | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best and Final | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Pele | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Righteous Robbie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Path | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gendragon | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tracking Gold | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party of No | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Conquest | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Society Joe | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Longandshortofit | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pickhimupsup | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Advance | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Synchromesh | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Identity | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factoire | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loaded Question | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simple Souvenir | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Society Girl | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thatsmykindanight | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Citizen’s Arrest | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Illusion | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Tale of Mineshaft | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Milano | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cape Cod | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Edge | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamite Duke | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Azzurro | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Absolutist | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Solis | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bodie | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Spike | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Opus North | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hiatus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Racing in the Rain | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Legend | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Prince | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Sea | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hicksy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie’s Flatter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Citrus Boy | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gatling Gun | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Quay | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Slye | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gav’s Dream Girl | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Legs Like Shack | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Naha Te | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surfeit | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carla’s Honor | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Cashmere | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Carnation | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crumlin Jet | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devil in Her Heart | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Original Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Distorted Success | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tally Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Infinite Passion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Princess Lavender | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stole the Ring | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tarantula | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Artie | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wora | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aim for the Sky | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Pharoah | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Torontotoro | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red Hierarchy | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Edge of Fire | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sure Would Forest | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lucky Score | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Send the Word | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Decimator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guitar George | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Antigone | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Solar | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Montana | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Redoute’s Light | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tallestofthetall | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Embrace My Uncle | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Spring | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miriam’s Sky | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tempereya | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Harlan Estate | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Conduct | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Haddassah | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riptide Rock | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Grinding | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | H C Holiday | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artie’s Storm | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Collective Force | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | British Royalty | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Go Take Charge | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Executive Giant | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breaking Alone | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ontario Fashion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Betwixting | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amalfi Coast | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Sunday | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jeannie’s Beepbeep | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Vision | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ima Beast | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boardroom | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Suigu Star | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Undefiled | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Siakam | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Conquest | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Have Hope | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cousin Rob | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Four Bounce | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Gizmo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Dydyk | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Abraxas | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Social Justice | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.