October 7, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Keen Machine | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Music | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happybirthdaycorey | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miz the Best | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buffum’s Beauty | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Lil Bossy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kobe’s Girl | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caribbean Flow | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic in Me | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salty Saul | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jammin Still | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallinipper | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Where’s the Ben’s | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost My Vowcher | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Sky Painter | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsknownasthebern | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fortes | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twelveo’clockrock | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Drop Kiss | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tasfeeq | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tunnel Strike | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Thyme | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Bettina | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Special Freedom | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellswillberinging | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Self Assured | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Broadway Melody | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rona | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Our Sweet Pea | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Down Under Thunder | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nicolar | 4.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pounding Music | 3.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dial Emma Reilly | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Way Or Else | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McLucy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ellie Be Dancing | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coral Summer | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless Lassie | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Notion Interruptus | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adabel | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peculiarity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amunet | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Twenty One | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cecilita | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time Goes Fast | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sofia’s Secret | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dawn | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tiz Kobe Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | High Vibes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Moon Boss | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Surya | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Etheric | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Keep It Classic | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Palmer | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clouds of White | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Belief | 4.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Determined Star | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hunter Joe | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artie Chiller | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canoodle | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Da Money | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bakeneko | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carson and I | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Star | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treasure Tradition | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pederson’s Courage | 1.60 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Breviary | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wildcat Cartridge | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Witty Banter | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fed Up Fired Up | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Something Magical | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Foggy Dreams | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Giulia Ammannati | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Last Trial | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All About Kathern | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Home Dixie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lady Fox | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | So Gracious | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Shot | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liam’s Light | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischiefs Model | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Edie Meeny Miny Mo | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Proper Attire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Influential | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rush Delivery (IRE) | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Narmer | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Happy Giant | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silk War | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hanford | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lacco Ameno | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rip It | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grey Giant | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.