October 9, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blame the Vets | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Rosa | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fish Mooney | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brody’s Causeway | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paintbrush | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barbara | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Had a Nice Weekend | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Nena | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ala Turka | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Look Up to Heaven | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mi. Tallawah | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Silk | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy’s Nice Candy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncaptured Faith | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | School Dance | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Virginian | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Tune | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breakthrough | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earth | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malraux | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frozen Funds | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weatherford | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Good Trouble | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lara’s Lady | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Wood | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gioconda | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amor Coco | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Bokaina | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gran Malbec | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Til the End | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Crushem | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kramden | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharm El Sheikh | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uhtred | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | County Court | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ranger Up | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Souper Jaguar | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor D J | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Farley | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Positive Phil | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Make It Big | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birdnote | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | K. C. Chief | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Vs Reward | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T Ville | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beastfromtheeast | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capture Mi | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Crusader | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Camp Pendleton | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Navajo Creed | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gods Blessing | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Real | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eastern Symphony | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Jim | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Mandate | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mountain King | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Ten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes I Am Free | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romario | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King of Dreams | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fulmini | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trinni Summer | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Ice Beast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New York Style | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positively Awesome | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paladio | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swaggy George | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Flay | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black V. K. | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Machisto | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eye of the Temple | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anythingbutsubtle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raising Moon | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Film | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadet Corps | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sun Viking | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One More Day | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Euphoria Star | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosty Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tested Mettle | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.