October 11, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Mas Grande | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Emperor | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ahsad | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King’s Gold | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dubrovsky | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Espresso Caliente | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Diggers Diamond | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Equality | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jacohare | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mithra | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Open Lengths | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Refi | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commissioner Dave | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wildcat Cura | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pearly Queen | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Sonata | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Congaree Rose | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taylor’s Belle | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Raphael | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iza One | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gibby’s Gem | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Peyton Elizabeth | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Rouge | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aegean Sea | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baba | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Creative Love | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anginetti | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fan Fan | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Philadelphia Belle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Other Things Equal | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Gate Warrior | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Borracho | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hooray for Harvey | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luxury Suite | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nileator | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | D T Goodie | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missionatthespa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Trilogy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I Say I Play | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Streak | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sense a Million | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Penance | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Carmeltini | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Special Risk | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victoria E | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rose of Dublin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | West Horizen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rules | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wye Mumbo | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goldenlineof | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brazen | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greenback | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noon Time Gem | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weekend in Court | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cigar Box | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Took a Cab | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Call Fitzroy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yondering | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warrant Officer | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Strong Alex | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monday’s With Mike | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes for Less | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Piggybank | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kolohe Prince | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Valentino Daze | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Exit Right | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bumperdoo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zippy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jamminwithbrandon | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Infuriated | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grit’n’grind | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orbert | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Thrifty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shane’s Jewel | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amatteroftime | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Splicethemainbrace | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Camanoe | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Ritt | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Commission | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Sailor Again | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Spirit Wolf | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Best Start | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | New Hampshire | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dreaming Thousand | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Bavaria | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cause I Said So | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Racehorseinared | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Harbor Crossing | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rising Storm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Will too Shy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Exxtop | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Phil the Banker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Spartak | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Secret Magician | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 6 | I Saw It All | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.