October 13, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Production | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allthewaywithtaye | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonder Run | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Free Indeed | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aw Shucks | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheers to Berti | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Daigle | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isolation | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Little Lady | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enduring Peace | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Priority | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time for a Song | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rivetrix | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kellys the Boss | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Birdcatmouse | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Minji | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweetsweetsong | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kasens Train | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Actifdash | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Multidimensional | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R and R Star | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King’s Alibi | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashlightsecurity | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Pulpit | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ciroc O Clock | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Izeonpoint | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get Directions | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh My Oh | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Lein | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joe G’s Payback | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swanee Beach | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twn Tawfeers Party | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suspect the Worst | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Accustomed to Hope | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hoyam | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hopeitsamiracle | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Battle of Will | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scrappy Artie | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Indiscreet | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blushinstreetdevil | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grosse Tete Ian | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blondie Fix It | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedofthespeed | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bro Brahms | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | You Vee Cee | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brimestone Kid | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magnificent Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crooked Banker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saint Scotty | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Standing Man | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Bourbon | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Common Law Cat | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’s D ‘cat | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crooks Rebel | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dapper Dan Man | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Purim King | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Vista | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Meditate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Donna’s Court | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Jam | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mama Said No | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapsion | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sangria City | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taylors Babe | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clara Belle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Tsunami | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anna Clause | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m All Shook Up | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Opportunity Knocks | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Shes Our Fastest | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Misty Day | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kela’s Turn | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southern Beauty | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onerollofthedice | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Aurelia Factor | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Schiff’s Corner | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ima Discreet Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chop Chop Charlie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forevamo | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gobler | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy This | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Familiar Rhythm | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Egyptian | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss You Jo | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Due Apeal | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valyrian | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Witch Doctor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Taken Back | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Such | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.