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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 15, 2021

October 15, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Cecile’s Chapter 4.00 2 4-1
2 1 Zabava 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Del Mar Drama 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Loud Loud Music 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Donut Girl 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Kuora (PER) 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Essential Wager 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 2 Miacomet 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 Thales 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 5 Affable 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 American Admiral 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Mongolian Ford 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Vetoed 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Disco Ball 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sweet Devil 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Rev Rita 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Acai 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Miss Tokyo 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Mind Meld 5.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Takethediamondlane 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Chrome of Our Own 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Tribal Bid 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 New Drama 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gerlach’s 4.00 3.5 7-1
12 10 Pick Your Bid 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Try to Capture 3.50 4.8 9-1
11 9 Eight Makar 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Little Mischief 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Circle Back 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 D D S Express 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Mad Catter 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Sir Flatter 6.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Humboldt 50.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fenestra 4.00 SCRATCH
13 98 Max Smart 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Eighteen Maverick 50.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Toeris 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 4 Carroll Girl 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Ballet Dancing 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Peripheral 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gold Dragon Queen 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Magical Sign 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Empire d’Oro 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Macho Queen 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Exalted Joy 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Borkan 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Direct Line 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Perfecto Amor 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lightning Fast 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 The Beat 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Mongolian Legend 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Via Egnatia 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Castle 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 9 Seeking Refuge 6.00 5 9-1
7 6 Ian Glass 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Admirably 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Psycho Dar 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Barristan The Bold (GB) 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 All Eyes West 12.00 9.9 19-1
2 98 Crossword 0.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Stitzy 12.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Sensemaker 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blameless 12.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Barossa 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Breakfast Ride 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 South Street 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Noble Union 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Katonah 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Durante 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Cabo Spirit 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 War At Sea 4.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Happy Runner 20.00 7 13-1
10 98 Midnight Mammoth 0.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Portsmouth 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fore Flag 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sippin N Kissin 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 My Mane Champ 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tribal Dancing 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Agador Spartacus 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Real Pouch 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Bally’s Charm 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Trapalis 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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