October 19, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silver Excess | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Red Seven | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enigmatica | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Not in the Mood | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volodina | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hola Princess | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creedibility | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party in the Sand | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chelsea Wall | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Superhelpful | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Samurai | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Celebrate | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kissmelips | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | African Song | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shang’s Sister | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Star | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Jumper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | B B’s Rocket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ciarrai Abu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sour Mash | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Risque’s Jewel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Slew Tang Clan | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mission Wrapitup | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Martial Eagle | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Valentino Daze | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempting the Tiger | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piggybank | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Green Growth | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch My Vibe | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | About the Multiple | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pa Encima | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Willie Mays Hays | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | New Hampshire | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Duck Ducky Goose | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dream of Warrior | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | E T’s Super Star | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Fred’s Gonefishing | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunshine Tommy | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ash of My Enemy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hope for Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bizzy Gillespie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Vencil | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Perez | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Field Officer | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Peyton Elizabeth | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barista Vixen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tilsa | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quasar | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tonal Vision | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dantastic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tactical Plan | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard West | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strawberry Red | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Off Duty | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cobh | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mass Appeal | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Here Wego | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thomas Knight | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loverboy Lou | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Burano | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alice Harper | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alrashaka | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mythreebutterflies | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phancy Philly | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Loves Gold | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Laoban | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gold Watch | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Martini’s Amica | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Escandalo | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Poor No More | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Serena | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Twodogsfourcats | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | National Honor | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boat’s a Rockin | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thank You Ricketts | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Borracho | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Ninja | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atta Kid | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Say I Play | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Promise Illgetyou | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Grit’n’grind | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Legal Gump | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Skipin On Orchard | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lucky Britches | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Storm Factor | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dramatized | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overbold | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | American Roma | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Worth His Salt | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monteleone | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jones Taxi | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Staynsidethecircle | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Banker’s Island | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Oasis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Heart of a Warrior | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | In Equality | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runningforhome | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Dude | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Optic Way | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Why Why Paul Why | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ridin With Biden | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Two Zone | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Chase | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 8 | Starship Blanca | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Posseineffecttoo | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Visiting Angel | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Touch Me Not | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trapped N My Mind | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Tamiami | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Risen Change | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stoneharbor Blonde | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Create a Story | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Creative Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sheknowsthedrill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hightime Valentine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Frosty Friend | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.