October 20, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reposado | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Three Ks | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hope for Change | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sing Loud | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Traelee | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bobby Boots | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yank Crime | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Nate | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Rogue | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Thimble | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moonshinerboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ten Buds | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Custom for Carlita | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ezee Enough | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’wild Baroness | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diva’s Ransom | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Matt’s Pride | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Underrated | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grillin | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wholeshackshimmies | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cabro Toro | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gray Dane | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Sky | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runwildwithdreams | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | As Thunder Heart | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Major Griffin | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Leo | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Results | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ronalds Gatsby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Primary Solution | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gtuone Buck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Letstakeitoutside | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kinley Cash | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz One Fee | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grace of David | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Neko | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kodiak Sky | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodnightsugar | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honest N Lucky | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charzee Baby | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stone Secret | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Always Late | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blazing Fire | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Rog | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Von Dom | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Crossbow | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Move It | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kenai Star | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mean Cruiser | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jonathan Who | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | B B Moody | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | G Don’t Know | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Wise Guy | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Diside | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brithasgoldencents | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Pleasant Vision | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rare Strain | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sobek | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Last to Know | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papaws Boy | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Relax Town | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Post Close | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Cruise | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meditate | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Blaze | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Park Ridge Benny | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lighthawk | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentrified | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sr. Clarky | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reason to Soar | 2.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hatties Jewel | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foolish Steve | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sir Smack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Now You Rules | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arctic Rose | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pepper Jack | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Vista | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewhustle | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Got Kramer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Nightmare | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlies Ticket | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guitar Slim | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cameo Dancer | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dusty Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Poseidon’s Magic | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lake Sense | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mschitchattour | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Custom Made | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Briannas Gift | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Laughalot | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | J Z’s First | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Us Second Cute Pie | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Simple Sunday | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolutely Mindy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | It’s Time Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tizindy Queen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.