October 21, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shea On a Mission | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commissio | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sade Purse | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Future Flay | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Simpatia | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angels Can Fly | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Empress | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Spice | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Passion Plus | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Factor | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raki | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wonder Blondy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Mallomar | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charge It Jenn | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy of Course | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dominant Joy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alobrah | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Only Girl | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stare If You Must | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fleche d’Amour | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aleida | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tone Elise | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suspiciously Sweet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Grit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Citizen West | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lost a Legend | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Teufles | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vinny Dream | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Feather | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abhar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Trip | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arete’s Chalice | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bravo Zulu | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hotline to Heaven | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Makin It Look Easy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ines’s Hats | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Beast | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Julie Bird (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bahamian Rhapsody | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Emperor’s Song | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kay’s Project | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonheur | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gregs Posse | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V K Princess | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Audrey | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Habibi | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | I’m a Coco Pebbles | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dinner At Five | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Rachel | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Package | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Italy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smooth as Glass | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gran Reserva | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Lion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Biz | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heals the Soul | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Red Style | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smooth Music | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheval Dore | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Admiral Truffles | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mindship Q | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Assert Dominance | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Triple | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bottom Deck | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.