October 22, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valiant Avenger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Twins Sneakers | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Survivor | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hector B | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Agarramesipuedes | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Andrews | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shosha | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tested Mettle | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Erlan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Allegedly Perfect | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fig Jelly | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cuy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surprise Factor | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Kitten | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nitro Time | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | General Command | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Lover | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eternal Flame | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uranium | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Valley | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Beast | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Volte Face | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Agent Cooper | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Federal Exchange | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gilligan | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adventure Seeker | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Back | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oriental Park | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Venezuela First | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Special | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ubiquitous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tuwaim | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catch On Emotional | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mish | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Berrier | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redjack | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ben Copenhagen | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Global Empire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Light Fury | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fighting Force | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calibrator | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trophy Chaser | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Matters | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Lyon | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fly the W | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Poiema | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sequin Lady | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Foot Susie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flor de Plata | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Baby Luck | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Laniakea Storm | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Spitfire | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prettykeen | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mountain Bellatrix | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Dove | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Knight Sleeper | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tonalist’s Shape | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thissmytime | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Nala | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crumb Bun | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cookie Dough | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helping Lisa D | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simplify (ARG) | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Decision | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Til the End | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Malbec | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Katie’s Cowboy | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uhtred | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Timmy M. | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aycapote | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unspoiled Moments | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Pip | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.