October 22, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | R True Sensation | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parched Ghost | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Magica | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Family Fortune | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dat Dares Gold | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petion Lass | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Itsknownasthebern | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Argentic (FR) | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chateau de Vizille | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of Spades | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Posterity | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minister’s Strike | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mokheef | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Bubble (IRE) | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fed Up Fired Up | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kikinboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Down Under Thunder | 50.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver’s Girl | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Out | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Chesapeake | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Startwithabang | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canoodle | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rona | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sundog | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Ideas | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dial Emma Reilly | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheriff’s Kid | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bust Out Lady | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Areemaa | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fearless Lassie | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coral Summer | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayfield of Dreams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gypsy’s Image | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Willow’s Charm | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veryan | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | See That Girl | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Got a Good Reason | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expect the Sunrise | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Broadway Trouper | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Candy Corner | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bad Temper | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Hat Boss | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guapa Chica | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Little Ms Scarlet | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arbela | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hot to Party | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Macy’s Boy | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monster Mason | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lacco Ameno | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Full Dinner Jacket | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nordic Rhythm | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Idea | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broker’s Reward | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Plucky | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Pere | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Sack | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Market Mover | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Piper | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fore On Seven | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming of Carats | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay In | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One More Factor | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disputed Notion | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | James’s Moonshine | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Dare Me | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Make the Way Clear | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Royal Moon | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Figlio Del Re (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Espresso Lungo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backnthewoods | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oskee Wow Wow | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Candy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caminero | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outkissed | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unprecedented | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papal Law | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gussy Mac (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robey’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charmed (GB) | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Commander | 2.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blessed Arion | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rohrbacher | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | War Stroll | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Battlebus | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fortune’s Fool | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Powerfully Built | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lucky Jaime | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mending | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Princess | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vanquisher | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshineanrainbows | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thief of Hearts | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hope Has a Name | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Practically Dizzy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Memphis Mafia | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.