October 23, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Relax Town | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Firsttimevalentine | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big Boss Man | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2B | 11 | Zion’s Call | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Double Priority | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Gottatakehimto | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ambassador House | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Datswhatilike | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | And Yet Another | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 8 | Zarazi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Daves Friend Dewey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Jade’s Classy One | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | C C’s Baby Girl | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Darter | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sworn Silence | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodnight Gracie | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Seventeen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dial Em In | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sing the Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tarkington Girl | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms. Cajun Queen | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’d Be Rich | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pat’s Empyrean | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreaming of Neany | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aggie Doctor | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mylies Star | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Deal Me a Penny | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Basalt Street | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Sweet Sophia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Connect It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mishpachah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Georgia Dawn | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kris T. | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sucre | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Tap | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Memory Magic | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lulumaru | 1.60 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sundereya | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Comerunninboys | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Town Willy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Quana Dude | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Ward | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Answer in the Wind | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Laughing Latinos | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Buffalo | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Homeland Messa | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gotta Love Ike | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kyle’s Bro Jimmy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Spirit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Willy Mc | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cleric | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reprobate | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Blue Jay | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Filippo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shackleford Strong | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long and Strong | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starzip | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rather Precocious | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dinar | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Perfect Star | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hunka Burning Love | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mageez | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twoko Bay | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shake Some Action | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Britts a Closer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Legacy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unified Report | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Family Creed | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drewmazing | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fiesty Fist | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True Deal | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Autumns Strong Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Helaire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Home Visit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Little Toe | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Good Intent | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Interactif Moment | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bluewater Cat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Honor My Speed | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Parlay Pete | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Summer Appeal | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Queeten | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweeping Edge | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Freudian Sip | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kudos to You | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Remi’s Rose | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A. P. Style | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hushed Court Room | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chambers Creek | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Ghost | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cleverinda | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rich Dreams | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Dakota | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Iam Dakota | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lucca’s Lilyby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.