October 23, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million Turf Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seville Row | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elementary | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lifespan | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mint Game | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ludicrous Mode | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Threethehardway | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamin of Seville | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B Determined | 1.60 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goldie’s Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million Distaff Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shake D Moon | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fairy Wish | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fudge Cake | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Congress Hall | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mavilus | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Petes Pride | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Treasure | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Littlebitalily | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Fox | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Grace Isabella | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calypso Ghost | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notion Interruptus | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leaky Cauldron | 2.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Thoughts | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkle Sprinkle | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Boss | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waterworks | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dowser | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buff My Boots | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Gracie | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luna Belle | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Julep | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jester Calls Nojoy | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Click to Confirm | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | She’s Mo Better | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | No More Mask | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Breviary | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brushing | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artful Splatter | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sally’s Mustang | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maldives Model | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fool Yourself | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amplio Esquema | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tipsy Chatter | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Misty’s Banshee | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Epic Idea | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holly’s Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I Love You | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Awesome Jazz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Good Life Cider | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Judi Blue Eyes | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tappahannock | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Maid the Journey | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golazo | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mice and Men | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tom Terrific | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Glengar | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | No More Talk | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pepe and Heywood | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot N Spicy Love | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crush It | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laddie Liam | 4.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natty Beau | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | A Penn Legacy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Alpha Queue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mystic Times | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Godlovesasinner | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love You Much | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock the Boat | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joseph | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sue Loves Barbados | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Skylark | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So Street | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grateful Bred | 1.40 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showtime Cat | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sky’s Not Falling | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Can the Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whispering Pines | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coconut Cake | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Beauty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Lute | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Beautiful | 0.40 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fille d’Esprit | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Factorintheheat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Coastal Mission | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bet On Bitz | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gallant Gold | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Al Loves Josie | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Munni | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vance Scholars | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Free Sailin | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cynergy’s Star | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Local Motive | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Mox | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All for Love | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Witty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | We B Shackin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Good Idea | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buff Hello | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Under the Radar | 12.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Benny Havens | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Good Year | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ravens Delight | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trifor Gold | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johng | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Up Against It | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Somekindofmagician | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nick Papagiorgio | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Copper | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beltway Bob | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Robert’s Luxury | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Who’s Counting | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cannon’s Roar | 2.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valued Notion | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kenny Had a Notion | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Token | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey and You | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Band On Tour | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Crown | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karan’s Notion | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortheluvofbourbon | 2.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jaxon Traveler | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Abuelo Paps | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Where Paradise Lay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Lou | 30.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crouchelli | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prendimi | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Big Dreams | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Poser | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tappin Cat | 1.20 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Torch of Truth | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cordmaker | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | McElmore Avenue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Closer Look | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Ferber | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alwaysmining | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million Turf Distaff Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frisky Feeling | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Better Yet | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jumpstartmyheart | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapidashqueen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Award Wanted | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Claire’s Darling | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Millie Child | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.