October 23, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Pronto | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patio Party | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broke an Broken | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | When We Connect | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Play | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Brew | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anselmo | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thelonious | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Protect | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shan’s Tiger | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Ginger | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coasting Away | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secrets Told | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quinte Road | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Vancougar | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twister Alert | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Hendrie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Our Secret Agent | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amalfi Coast | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Libertee | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toffen | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiduciary (GB) | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betwixting | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forty Smooth | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Divine Genesis | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Guroo | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Eleanor Powell | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy’s Star | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Capture the Moment | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reign by Rein | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alternative View | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherubic | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Blueyed Princess | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a True Fox | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Joy’s Solution | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Shades | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lower for Longer (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hey Mickey | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Picture | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point to the Stars | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Timmins | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bound Lucky | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Innuendo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muromec | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Am Resilient | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Load Abroad | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violet Jessop | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Ghost | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosie Amor | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nadiabizniz | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | High Treason | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verdejo | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foresters Princess | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stole the Ring | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sneaky Rebel | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Princess Elizabeth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Into Touring | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baksheesh | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Touring | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moira | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lois Len | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swinging Mandy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Flashy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keep It Neat | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Proposal | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Intro | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Belle | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A Broken Breeze | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Samurai Queen | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen’s Speed | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’ll Take the Gold | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grateful Praise | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Savvy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | West Paw | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Make No Mistake | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Five Days in May | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Silent Respect | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | In All Alone | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Loaded Sniper | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Mavrik | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sun Forester | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Belentime | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fifty Three | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hullabaloo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Veery | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Meg | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ashbury | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Gables | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taquanyah | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cedar Valley | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing Sky | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Exceptional | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imaginary Sky | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Livin On Luv | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reciprocal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Raven Echo | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.