October 24, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perseverancia | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Ride | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Lady | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chart | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peace Seeker | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nantucket Red | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marais | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chairman Fox | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wasaga | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Mountain | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Sussex | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Murcielago | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Virreinato | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shishka | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Locche | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Last Sensation | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Determined Friend | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gatling Gun | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Alfredthefirst | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea to Air | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theodoropoulos | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Road | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rapid Reload | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Free Carrycomb | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maverick Man | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drone Swarm | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | That Quality | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grazely | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wenjack | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Classic | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copinsay | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Humbug | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Adelaide Court | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | U S Army Corps | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Impressive Speed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Glorious Tribute | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ahmas | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle of Yorktown | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Download | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surfeit | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gav’s Dream Girl | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Naha Te | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bizymaline | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Essential Bella | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courtingcourtney | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreams and Schemes | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizz Gemma | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vermont Holiday | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pure Elegance | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Passion | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Carnation | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Positive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Derzkii | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Meyer | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avoman | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jelgo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Giant Critic | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hyperfocus | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argentium | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Causeway | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sir Sahib | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wora | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aim for the Sky | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sandy Bay | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Checkerboard Floor | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Score | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Torpedo Max | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Torontotoro | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Hierarchy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threefiftyseven | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Borders | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Cod | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ghostliner | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Money Printer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stribling | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funiculi | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Azzurro | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grandson | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arafat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crafty Conquest | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hitters Park | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Executive Sight | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alacritous | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forest Survivor | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Flash | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Zuma | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ever So d’Wild | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Brass Compass | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tale of Mineshaft | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Executive Chairman | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Spin | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Scholar | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Smoke | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absolutist | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rookie Radar | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bodie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Benlion | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boxer Brief | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spiral Storm | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Killary | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laugaricio | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.