October 28, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | South Al Sparky | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sent’s Galaxy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Metal Count | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm the Field | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suddenly | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbelievable Catch | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monzza | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Bogey | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Powershot | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ten Buds | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Charli Michael | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | One Proud Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Wants Half | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Sweet Prayers | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Opps My Bad | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | See Sassy Run | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Nitap | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Ezee Enough | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Caruso | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tensas Virginia | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Marie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Natalie Run | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Knights Sword | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violet Shadows | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whimsical Lady | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Custom Chasse | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Star | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gamble On Gabby | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Iron Quest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Why Wait | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kierkegaard | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Ridge | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Moon | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turn On the Magic | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gracida | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nippy Red | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Hero | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Rules | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bind On Earth | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stang It | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Heat | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shesthecatsmeow | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ibegtodiffer | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Raising the Roof | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Totally Grace | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m All Mixed Up | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bind Me Up | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Ridge Heat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Red | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corrigan | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seehoss | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Tap | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Herms Crown | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Traffic Control | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adieu Le Chat | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Chalice | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ogre’s Lion King | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Everlovinghand | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Inthealy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Custom Blue Grass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gris Tormenta | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O Chita | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cypress Queen | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mercury Head | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Chick | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Splenda Gail | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madame Jane | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mariah’s Candy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | O’Babe | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charged Temp | 4.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hour City | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calculate | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Eagle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovethatcause | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stephen’s Answer | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dictator | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Si Es Goya | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carpe Victoriam | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buxterhooter | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Beauty Boy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I’ll Raise You | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Flush King | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Palace | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Loveu and Proudofu | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Marvin | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Victory Trip | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gold Punch | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mizspelt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Outlaw X. | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | All Our Time | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Jackies Irishdream | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maya’s Wish | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Easy Is Good | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Social Date | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Angie At Theoffice | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pennie’s Magic | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zinasdestinyvirago | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Furka Pass | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Taylors Babe | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dream Peaceful | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke in Your Eyes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Talty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.