October 30, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Moment | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Choice | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Blessing | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Authentic Heart | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Limo | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Congrats Again | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mutaraafeq | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gangly | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legal Deal | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summerfest | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a G Six | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Well Defined | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Casique | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sister Lou Ann | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Macha | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castle Born | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spread Joy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildcard Kitten | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brush With the Law (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jeha | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mony | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Young Flint | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Benjamin | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Bros | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Farm Strong | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greyzer | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Palimonium | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backatya | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regio | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lozano | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On Jet Heir | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Vito | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soulful Song | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Minister Quinn | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | David’s Cupid | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Brethren Juvenile Fillies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lemieux | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brittiz | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fish Mooney | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Breeze | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Science Friction | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes I’m Spiteful | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Straight to Go | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fate of Ophelia | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Short Circuit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cultured | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isadorable Aida | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madeira Wine | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Bella | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ocala Stud Juvenile Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Make It Big | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Leo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Green Crusader | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clapton | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lightening Larry | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spuntacular | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Man On the Moon | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Buenisimo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thenorthremembers | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montana Man | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ocean Ride | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Plunge | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Majority Rules | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plenum | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yeguita Queen | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shes Sky High | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sade Purse | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kizzy | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Future Flay | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fastlife | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Sofi | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exaggerated Moment | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Doesn’t Know | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Water Wizard | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.