October 30, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Big Cheeks | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snow Squall | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Cross | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Shades | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jolene Jolene | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alternative View | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ceebett’s Bow | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bearthestorm | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Path | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raspberry Wild | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Wicked | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Finder | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Cat | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Final Trick | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Humble Beginnings | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Orbaline | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chaldea | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’s Soul | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Driver | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roche’s Point | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freret | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Fabulous | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Destiny | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Display S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hicksy | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Legacy | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twenty Four Mamba | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Optigogo | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heat Merchant | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ironstone | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin in Da’nile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cappy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bequia | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Confident | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cielo d’Oro | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frosteria | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Ride | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seaquelle | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | English Shirl | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Youens | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Surge | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Haddassah’s Devil | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Citrus Boy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday House | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Churchtown | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scoot Daddy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Dawn | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Than a Dance | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rondure | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Farewell | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guestimation | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Juan Pablo | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Viature | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collective Force | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Tallestofthetall | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tourist’s Dream | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Seguimi | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Prideofdistinction | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shangassah | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unilateral | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Desolator | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canadian Pharoah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cerrado | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lion Kingdom | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Souper Watson | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | There’s No Joe | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nashtrick | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mason’s Gamble | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wave Baby | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Silver | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Finalist | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bode’s Tipsy | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Oath | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Decimator | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Green | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Breaking Alone | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ima Pharoah | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Coronation Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | God of Love | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Feet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rum Cup | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lament | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Minkster | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Stronger Together | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laraque | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hidden Honor | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J M R Best of Turf | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kiddie Holiday | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shamateur | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brutality | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Mocha | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancin in Da’nile | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Glorious Song S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Skylerville | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elegant Joy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolateaddiction | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fulminate | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marie MacKay | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aubrieta | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifth Anniversary | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Candy Overload | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last American Exit | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derzkii | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep On Truckin | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Executive Search | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Priceless Will | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Forester | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Four Aces High | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unlimited Talent | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Dani’s Victory | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Solution | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dot’s Vision | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | O’Kratos | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Downy Boy | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cheek to Cheek | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seventyseven Stone | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bay of Rum | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sure Would Forest | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Victor’s Dynasty | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Victor | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drena’s Bullet | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blockbuster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.