November 5, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zultan | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golduster | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guitartuition Plzz | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Un Ojo | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cottonwood | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Russet Moon | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luck of the Stars | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Escrow Style | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backgate Red | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lemniscate | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Map | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Britts a Closer | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Star | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yodel E. A. Who | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Extirpator | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rightandjust | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Jackieleigh | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neverland Band | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blameitonthejock | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speighter Cat | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Scale | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Her Great Grandpa | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go My Juliet | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Who Dat Grey | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overly Sweet | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Landwoman’s Gift | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Our Little Girl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Isolation | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Romantic Beast | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Da Due Run Run | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | G Kate | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fashion Moon | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golden Smiles | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nineoneoneprayer | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dixie Lady | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shades of Truth | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Isle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gee Gee | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Gulch | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drop o’ Chocolate | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bodie On Pointe | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gaby’s Promise | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cavatica | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Flirty | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Dawn | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Streettalkinhottie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Duchess of Zmor | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enduring Peace | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rivetrix | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arkansas Bling | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time for a Song | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Lucky Little Lady | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hanging Lake | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Firstslate | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dejoke’s Song | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sophisticated Girl | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Wild Firemaker | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Thunk | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wise Anchor | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lilrascalman | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Roux Ga Roux | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Custom Kat | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harbor Knight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | The Thimble | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Real Brave | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egeauxtism | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rare Strain | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hope for Change | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toe Bandit | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yoakam | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saber Run | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steal It Back | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Kenny | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Now Now Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bitsy’s Other Half | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pleasant Vision | 3.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Pay Dirt | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mister K | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Band’s Luck | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pull My Chain | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Old Indian Trick | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dusty Hill | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Frank the Mayor | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dried Pepper | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dust Em | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Velvet Ridge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Warriors Gem | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Kasilof | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Poseidon’s Magic | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alberta Moon | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Souper Zoom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Runaway Susan | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Baby Bele | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hairtrigger Heart | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss E. Fu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lumberjack Empire | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marilyn’s Magic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Taylor’s Wish | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Last Ghost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Priddis | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.